The Turkish leader wants to become Canada Goose Jackets the

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The Turkish leader wants to become Canada Goose Jackets the

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Washington’s ties with Ankara have improved significantly in recent years thanks to a personal relationship between President Obama and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

canadian goose jacket Yet a crisis could be waiting in Syria. canadian goose jacket

canada goose coats on sale Ankara and Washington both abhor the Syrian regime’s brutal crackdown on demonstrators. But according to some buy canada goose jacket reports, Ankara is hosting the Syrian opposition and Canada Goose Outlet possibly even helping arm it. canada goose coats on sale

canada goose store In contrast, Obama’s cautious policy on Syria appears to be driven by a desire to avoid three things: the political unknown after Bashar al Assad, war in an election year, and a new military campaign in a Muslim country. canada goose store

Canada Goose Parka Erdogan might find it increasingly difficult to tolerate Obama’s “wait and see” strategy. For the Turks, slaughter in Syria is not an overseas affair, but rather a tragedy close to home that they cannot ignore. Canada Goose Parka

canada goose coats Turkey’s canada goose store border with canada goose clearance Syria spans 510 miles, crisscrossing ethnic groups and families. Some Turks have loved ones in Syria who are in harm’s way. These constituents canada goose black friday sale demand that Erdogan do his uk canada goose utmost Canada Goose Online to stop the al Assad canada goose clearance sale regime from perpetrating its crimes. canada goose coats

Canada Goose Outlet And many Sunni Turks, including those in the Ankara government, cannot turn a blind eye to the crackdown because they see the violence as a horrifying case of persecution by the Alawites who run the country. Canada Goose Outlet

Canada Goose online Such religious sensitivities will be heightened later this summer during canada goose factory sale the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, which starts in late cheap Canada Goose July. Canada Goose online

cheap Canada Goose When the Syrian uprising began, Ankara canada goose uk shop initially shied away from confronting Damascus, offering advice instead. But during last year’s Ramadan, Turkish foreign minister Ahmet Davutoglu visited Damascus to ask al Assad to halt his crackdown in recognition of that month’s sanctity. Damascus ignored this request, instead sending Canada Goose online tanks into Hama to attack civilians. Turkish Syrian relations collapsed at this moment: Ankara switched to an aggressive posture against al Assad, calling for action to force him to step down. cheap Canada Goose

Canada Goose sale Even though Turkey has since backpedalled on some canadian goose jacket of its war rhetoric, Ankara could become more outspoken again this Ramadan. Moved by Muslim suffering during a holy month, Erdogan might make passionate calls for military action against al Assad. This would throw a wrench canada goose in Canada Goose Parka Ankara’s relationship with Washington: the White House would have to choose between answering to Erdogan’s passion and avoiding a military campaign in an election year. Canada Goose sale

buy canada goose jacket There is one more reason why Ankara cannot live with the al Assad canada goose uk black friday regime, even if Washington can. Recent news reports suggest the buy canada goose jacket cheap Syrian regime is allowing the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), a Kurdish terrorist group that targets Turkey, to operate inside Syrian territory. buy canada goose jacket

buy canada goose jacket cheap Turkey views the PKK as an existential threat, and it considers anyone who hosts the group to be an enemy. So even if Washington were to reach a modus vivendi with Damascus, it is Canada Goose Coats On Sale hard for Ankara to ever become friends with al Assad. buy canada goose jacket cheap

canada goose clearance The longer Washington delays action against al Assad, the more nervous Ankara will become about the PKK’s growing strength inside Syria. Eventually, Erdogan will ask Obama to help him oust canada goose uk outlet al Assad and prevent the PKK from becoming a fighting machine next door. This divergence will uk canada goose outlet test the limits of the Obama Erdogan relationship. inaction, knowing that Obama’s re election chances depend on his ability to keep America out of an overseas conflict. elections in November? canada goose clearance

canada goose clearance sale Regardless of the canada goose coats winner, Erdogan will demand help from Washington to end the Syrian regime’s patronage of the PKK. This is because Erdogan, like Obama, has election fever. The Turkish leader wants to become Canada Goose Jackets the country’s first popularly elected president in polls to be held in 2013 or 2014. (Until a recent constitutional amendment, Turkish presidents were elected by the country’s parliament.) canada goose clearance sale

canada goose black friday sale Should al Assad continue to reign despite Erdogan’s outspoken support for regime change, this will tarnish the Turkish leader’s image as the tough guy canada goose london who gets things done, the very image that has earned him canada goose coats on sale respect and helped him win three successive elections since 2002. canada goose black friday sale

canada goose deals He would also be weakened with the PKK thriving in Syria and using its territory as a springboard to launch attacks against Turkey. Then he would most certainly ask Obama to prove whether he is truly the friend that the Turkish leader thinks he is. canada goose deals

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